WebOn June 6, 2010, FiveThirtyEight posted pollster rankings that updated and elaborated Silver's efforts from the 2008 election. Silver expanded the database to more than 4,700 … WebNov 3, 2024 · 10 in 100 chance of winning 189.5 average electoral votes +400 electoral vote margin +200 tie +200 +400 89 in 100 chance of winning 348.5 average electoral votes Each dot is one possible election...
Numbers nerd Nate Silver
WebApr 11, 2024 · The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut were held on November 8, 2024, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Connecticut, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. WebNov 8, 2024 · No Electoral College majority, House decides election See the Senate forecast * This is FiveThirtyEight’s best guess as to who the nominee will be, based on … pics of bruce willis
2024 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast FiveThirtyEight
WebApr 8, 2024 · In the weeks leading up to the election, the average national poll miscalculated the Senate outcome by 4.3 percentage points. Not only did Krone outpredict those polls by more than a full point, her model had a polling error of 3.2 percent—not far off Silver’s 2.1 percent. Graduate student Emily Krone WebNov 7, 2024 · Of all possible outcomes of Tuesday’s elections, the FiveThirtyEight model gives Republicans an average of 229 seats in the House to Democrats’ 206. The Senate map has shifted toward... WebAug 13, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight updated its 2024 election forecast yesterday, projecting a 71 percent chance of a Biden presidency as of August 12. On average, according to … top car insurance paragould ar